Scrap the Dublin Metro Project!
Despite Ireland being in recession and despite an emergency, early budget to try to deal with the crisis, and despite a projected shortfall in taxes of €7.5 billion the government of Ireland still sees fit to proceed with a €4 billion plan to develop a small metro system in Dublin. This proposed budget, which will no doubt be inflated as time goes on given government failures with previous capital projects, is equal to over half of the tax shortfall and would put the country in a far better position financially if it was not spent developing a metro line only in Dublin. Many respected business people have already said that building a metro in Dublin will not be a sensible decision nor return any true net worth to the tax payers who are paying for it. In addition, a similar metro project, but more advanced, was completed in Madrid in 2003 at a mere €1.6 billion (http://www.urbantransport-technology.com/projects/madrid/), less than half of the proposed Irish budget. This is a gross misuse of Irish taxpayer’s money and it should be stopped. It’s no more than a vanity project for the government and is far too costly in these times of economic recession and tax shortfalls. Join the cause, let the feeling be known!
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Comments
just a few comments, i havent looked into them too much in detail :o):
- its a capital project, so expense is expected to be high, with that pay back is also expected?
- its a capital project, its needed, cost is going to be high!
- the original Metro lines they planned are making money much fast than expected, and those lines will have paid for themselves i think it was in 15 years now - i certainly would like to see a reference to those who claim otherwise.
transport is a serious problem in dublin.
- comparing Dublin to Madrid is like apples to oranges, a building a skyscraper in NYC costs billions of dollars, that same building project in Ireland costs hundreds of millions, and in Spain costs 10’s of millions - why? different costs of living, wages etc - i earned 1400 per week working on a building project in NYC, and I know that the average wages in parts of “1st world western Europe” can be as little as 8k per year, and they are not living in poverty (the algarve)
- but i think the bottom line is: it takes spending money to revitalize a faltering economy, not paying back loans or cutting back drastically on expenditure.
@Dave
For sure all capital projects have high expense, less they not be capital projects.
However, the question hangs over the need for such a project. Just because it will be used does not mean that it is needed. Dublin has massive problems with sprawl, caused by bad urban planning and woeful centralisation of the country’s employment. The only way this system would logically make sense would be for Dublin to create even more problems and that really doesn’t make sense. Let me explain myself: If this system is used and takes people from Stephen’s Green to the airport and all stops along the way then it is doubling up on a number of existing transport services that do the same thing. If population stays the same and Dublin doesn’t sprawl any more then this metro would eradicate the need for buses and other services, which let’s face it will not be allowed to happen. The only way to sustain the demand would be to continue creating the problem that got Dublin to where it is today.
There are no existing metro lines in Ireland yet so I assume that you mean the Luas? They are making money but things will always make money when nothing is done to counteract the problem of population explosion and employment centralisation. It’s a bit like digging a hole and expecting it to not fill up with air.
Comparing Dublin to Madrid is far from an incomparable statement. The two cities are only separated by a small difference on the cost of living charts published by Mercer this year. They are both dynamic cities where space is at a high premium and Madrid has far more people to cater for and therefore even greater disruption by such a project.
Spending money will indeed get an economy moving again. However, spending public finances in times of massive budget deficits, money that will largely leave the national economy and further drain it, and spending money on a vanity project that will only serve a tiny percentage of the country’s population will not do anything for a recession. As I said in the original post, we could wipe out over half the tax shortfall with this project and not slip backwards in terms of dealing with public needs. Sadly centralisation, vanity spires, and unnecessary transport systems are the way the government of this country thinks.
In terms of rail line coverage in the Dublin Metropolitan Region, most of the city has coverage i.e.
(clockwise order from northeast)
The north east and south east of the city are covered by the DART.
The south central area is covered by the luas green line.
The south west area is covered by the luas red line.
The west is covered by the Heuston->Kildare commuter line.
The north west area is covered by the Connolly->Maynooth commuter line.
This creates an almost complete radial-design commuter rail system for the DMR.
The only rail access black spot missing from the radial design is the Dublin north central area. This is what Metro North was designed for.
The orbital Metro West is not part of this radial design but was added in to give access to various points of the system to people living in the west Dublin suburbs.
The reality is that these projects have to be built sometime, and labour costs are lower in a recession.
Buses simply don’t make the grade. One day (Not during rush hour) I wanted to travel from Blanchardstown to Howth Junction Dart Station (It doesn’t seem too far, does it?). I got the 220 Bus from Blanchardstown to Ballymun (This took 2 hours), I then got the 17A from from Ballymun to Howth Junction Dart Station (This took another 1 hour 30 minutes).
3Hrs and 30 Minutes to get 3/4 way accross the city. These are the normal travel times for these buses.
To put this in perspective, it takes around 2 hours to get from Dublin to Galway by train.
Also, it can easily take up to 2 two hours to get from some suburbs to the city centre by bus, and theres no space on many of the routes used to create a bus lane unless the roads in question had a complete car ban.
The reality is as a form of public transport, buses are terrible and are simply not up to the task. We use them simply because we’ve got nothing else. They are a last resort.
Segregated rail systems are the way to go, they get you to your destination in a reasonable amount of time.
The Metro North line serves many areas with demand for a high capacity public transport
link.
eg:
Swords,
Dublin Airport,
Ballymun,
DCU,
Drumcondra rail interchange (Croke Park Stop),
Mater Hospital (Phibsboro Stop)
Parnell Street,
O’Connell Bridge,
St. Stephens Green
etc…
Its a public-private partnership and the Government pays its half of the cost in installments in the 25 years following its completion in 2013/2014
People just want the government to get on with its construction.
Irish times poll showing that 74% of people support it:
http://scripts.ireland.com/polls/head2head/index.cfm?fuseaction=yesnopoll&pollid=8341&subsiteid=352
Another Irish times poll showing that 59% of people support it:
http://www.irishtimes.com/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=yesnopoll&pollid=8753&subsiteid=356
Both polls show support for it, the most you can argue over is the how large is majority the metro supporters have. An average of the two polls suggests that 66.5% of the population supports the construction of the metro.
Some Relevant Information/Statistics:
Its a public-private partnership and the Government pays its half of the cost in installments in the 25 years following its completion in 2013/2014 (most economists agree that Ireland and the rest of the world will be out of the recession by that time, even the great depression had an end in the 1930s)
People just want the government to get on with its construction.
Irish times poll showing that 74% of people support it:
http://scripts.ireland.com/polls/head2head/index.cfm?fuseaction=yesnopoll&pollid=8341&subsiteid=352
Another Irish times poll showing that 59% of people support it:
http://www.irishtimes.com/polls/index.cfm?fuseaction=yesnopoll&pollid=8753&subsiteid=356
Both polls show support for it, the most you can argue over is the how large is majority the metro supporters have. An average of the two polls suggests that 66.5% of the population supports the construction of the metro.
Spending in this area will create 1000’s of jobs. i agree that we have suffered from awful public planning in the past but transport is central to a recovering economy. We need proper transport infrastructure in place so we can fully take advantage of the world wide economic recovery.
It would be disastrous to scrap the project now.
The private investors that were invited to tender for the project are all well known international conglomerates including Barclays, Siemens and HSBC among many others. Each consortium has already spent in the region of €15 million in the design of this project so to say it will be cancelled is sending out an enormous negative signal which would only harm the international vision of Ireland. It would only further damage our reputation.
We have a very poor transport infrastructure by international standards, if we want to fully exploit the global recovery we need in place a transport network that matches our trading partners. Metro will form part of that network. We need to catch up with the rest of the world.
Spending on infrastructure will stimulate an economic recovery and create jobs. Unemployment is the single biggest contributor to the public finance deficit. It decreases tax revenue and increases public expenditure.
The metro project will create over 7,000 direct jobs in the middle of a recession (and many more indirect jobs during construction and direct jobs when complete), and as I have pointed out earlier, the Government only starts paying its half of the cost in 25 yearly installments once its construcion has been completed. The population of the Dublin Metropolitan Region is between 1.2 and 1.6 million depending on what areas are included. They pay well over a third of the tax take of the state and deserve a reasonably good public transport system. This is economically feasible in Dublin, but in many parts of the country there is not enough population for high capacity public transport (ie: rail). Other places where it may be feasible to build this kind of infrastructure (luas, commuter rail etc…) include Cork, Limerick and Galway.
The metro project’s estimated cost is €3.6 Billion, but various commentators keep pulling ridiculous figures out of their arses. The highest (and most ridiculous) I’ve heard was an estimate of 10 Billion. That could only happen if the metro rail lines were made of gold or some other rare metal.
There are always people who are against progress. If Fine Gael had their way back in the 70’s the DART still would not exist. There were plenty of critics of the Luas before it was built but they mostly went quiet after its completion even though both lines are still being extended.
Between 40 and 50 Million has already been spent of Consultant Fees, Planning, Design, Open Days, Rock Sampling by Norwest Holst etc…
The construction of the station boxes at Dublin Airport and the Mater hospital will begin in a few months. The bidders have spent 60 million between them preparing their tenders. To scrap it now would be a disaster well beyond e-voting proportions. As a state Ireland would lose credibility. Building contractors would take announcements for a tendering process for infrastructure in Ireland with a large pinch of salt and probably decide to bid instead for contracts in other countries that have no history of cancelling at the last minute in typical Banana-Republic fashion.
The vibes I get from jbwan’s comment is that he/she is more anti-any infrastructure in Dublin than anti-metro.
The polls in question were both Irish Times polls, not specifically Dublin polls.
“these jobs will nearly all go to foreign workers who will only be here for the duration of the project or part thereof because we do not have the skills required to build such a project”.
I will believe this statement when jbwan provides evidence showing that “nearly all” of the Luas construction workers were not Irish.
The same goes for the workers employed during the creation of the DART and Commuter rail services.
Dublin is still the only major capital in Europe that does not have a rail link to its Airport. North Central Dublin still has no rail access despite having a population that would merit a high capacity rail transport link.
Eg:
Swords,
Dublin Airport,
Ballymun,
DCU,
Drumcondra rail interchange (Croke Park Stop),
Mater Hospital (Phibsboro Stop)
These are only a few of the stops on the line.
” I would not approve of this project in any city in Ireland, in the current climate. ”
Most countries only invest in this kind of infrastructure in a recession as doing so in a boom results in massive cost overruns. They then pay for these projects when the economy recovers. This is the best of both worlds. For example, all the Scandanavian countries follow this build-in-recession pay-in-boom policy.
If we proceed we get a metro line, if we cancel we get a bill for the costs so far and nothing to show for it. The comparison you have used is invalid, a gambler has no guarantee of any return. The government and the electorate know that they will get a metro.
Previous experience best indicates the way the same kind of projects will be managed in the future.
Building the luas is not “completely different” from building the metro. Even the gague is the same to allow for a link-up later. If it is the difference of a tunnel you are referring to, how about providing some evidence that the Jack Lynch tunnel in Cork or the port tunnel in Dublin were built mainly by non-Irish workers.
I know that you cannot produce this evidence for the Port tunnel, DART, Luas etc… because you know very well that the majority of the workers on these projects were Irish and you’re just trying to gloss over your lie about non-Irish workers building the metro in your previous post.
You are being intentionally vague on something that there is a clear-cut answer for.
The fact is that you started this “Scrap the Metro” topic on the 3rd of December 2008 and none of the commentators who have bothered to respond have agreed with your sentiment. You have also attemped, unconvincingly in my opinion, to refute these commentators views.
Now you appear to be suggesting that the government will proceed with the project, pay the money and will not get the Metro delivered. Given that the project is a public-private partnership, the government is not bound to pay anything until the project is delivered (even then it’s cost is paid in 25 yearly installments). So unless we’re on the brink of an apocalypse or an unforeseen natural disaster, the government will have the Metro delivered and then begin paying for it.
I do not work for the government and have no links with the metro project other than it is being built in the city I live in.
Given that you appear keen to spread misinformation, fear, uncertainty and doubt about the metro project, my guess is that you have a personal financial interest in stopping this vital piece of infrastructure from going ahead. Are you the managing director of a bus manufacturer by any chance? or Dublin Bus?
jbwan quote:
“You have already said that Dublin has at most one third of the tax base for the country”
More misinformation by you, I said “They pay well over a third of the tax take of the state and deserve a reasonably good public transport system.”
Many of the high income professional jobs in Ireland are in the Dublin Metropolitan Region, so they would pay more taxes than the rest of the country.
Here is an income map of Ireland (100=Average Income)
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/3/3b/Ireland_income_distribution_chart.gif
Your argument about most people not using the line is fallacious. Commuters in Dublin tend to use only one or two of the rail transport lines to get to work, not all of them. Yet if you remove any one of them you will have a lot of angry people on your hands.
This is about creating a comprehensive rail transport system for the entire Dublin area. The last three parts are the two metro lines and the DART interconnector. We shouldn’t be stopping at the last hurdle with a bunch of disconnected systems when completing these projects will connect the system together and make it far easier to get around Dublin.
Transport problems exist in Dublin, you just want to shelve the solutions to these problems.
No one particular capital investment project will “give something back to the vast majority of Irish citizens/inhabitants”
For the record I’m not a Dub nor am I resident in Dublin, “misinformation” on your part. I will not even have a use for the metro when it is developed.
It’s hardly fair to compare developing two LUAS lines to repairing a section of the existing Iarnród Eireann rail line.
Just because it won’t serve the entire nation doesn’t mean it should be scrapped, it is needed for a sustainable Dublin which is needed to serve the entire nation.
It will provide 1000’s of jobs to the irish economy. The skills from more expierienced nations may be needed at the top end but we as a nation will never be able to provide a metro otherwise.
The LUAS might not have solved the traffic chaos but it has been an undoubted success. It was built to serve commuters and to be part of an intgrated rail system. METRO will not solve our traffic problms either but it will be a sccuess. Swords’ population is going to grow to 100,000 residents, The airport will grow from 20million passengers to 35m passengers. How will these people get from one end of the city to the other with realitve ease? The answer is an integrated rail network. People in Dublin are limited in where they work, socialise because there is an inadequate transport network. METRO is part of an integrated network.
Dublin suffers from traffic congestion as a result of awful town planning in the past, Developers were let build where ever thet wanted without having proper infrastructure in place to serve the new towns. The Metro should have been built in the 90’s but better late than never.
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[...] 3, 2008 | # | Tags: politics I can go to London if I want to travel underground like a mole. Dublin doesn’t need a metro. Can it, Cowen. [...]